The Bell’s 2028 prediction
The path to 270.
Our current state-by-state call, built from the nine-signal national environment, electoral history, and each battleground’s political fit.
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Democratic286
270 to win
252Republican
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Democratic Republican Split voteCurrent Bell Model prediction
Drawing the map...
The 2028 prediction is a model call, not a poll or guarantee. Historical result: National Archives, 2024 Electoral College. Population: 2020 U.S. Census. Geographic boundaries: US Atlas.